Last updated October 22, 2024
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karl Loiseau | 14 | 32 | 73.7% | 1 | 31.7 | 1 |
| 1 | Luke Phelan | 14 | 30 | 66.7% | 2 | 29.3 | 3 |
| 1 | Andrew Moeller | 14 | 30 | 66.7% | 2 | 29.7 | 2 |
| 4 | Matt Hogel | 12 | 31 | 60.0% | 4 | 28.0 | 5 |
| 4 | Andrew Batchelor | 12 | 30 | 57.1% | 5 | 28.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Dan Ellenberger | 8 | 32 | 42.1% | 6 | 22.4 | 10 |
| 6 | Mike Thorne | 8 | 32 | 42.1% | 6 | 23.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Nick Boucher | 8 | 30 | 38.1% | 9 | 23.4 | 8 |
| 6 | Steve Creaser | 8 | 32 | 42.1% | 6 | 23.6 | 6 |
| 10 | Gavin Gray | 7 | 31 | 35.0% | 10 | 23.1 | 9 |
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 5 | 11.4 | SEA | 0.61 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 5 | 9.9 | NYG | 0.72 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 4 | 8.4 | BUF | 0.39 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 5 | 11.6 | CLE | 0.79 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 10.9 | LA | 0.59 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 9.2 | WAS | 0.59 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 5 | 10.8 | JAX | 0.66 |
| Houston Texans | 5 | 10.3 | IND | 0.69 |
| Denver Broncos | 4 | 8.2 | CAR | 0.79 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Washington Commanders | 5 | 10.5 | CHI | 0.41 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 9.3 | TB | 0.59 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 3 | 8.7 | DAL | 0.64 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 6 | 13.4 | LV | 0.81 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 8.8 | HOU | 0.31 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 5.8 | KC | 0.19 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 4 | 10.6 | CIN | 0.41 |
| Miami Dolphins | 2 | 6.2 | ARI | 0.61 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 5.6 | PIT | 0.28 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 5 | 11.9 | TEN | 0.83 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 6.2 | GB | 0.34 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 5.4 | DET | 0.17 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 4 | 9.8 | ATL | 0.41 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 8.1 | PHI | 0.59 |
| Cleveland Browns | 1 | 5.5 | BAL | 0.21 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 8.0 | SF | 0.36 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 3 | 8.5 | NO | 0.73 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 7.1 | LAC | 0.27 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 8.2 | MIA | 0.39 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 2 | 7.3 | MIN | 0.41 |
| New York Jets | 2 | 7.6 | NE | 0.73 |
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Houston Texans | 5 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Denver Broncos | 4 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 4 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 5 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 3 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Washington Commanders | 5 | 29 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| Miami Dolphins | 2 | 13 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Detroit Lions | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 15 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 26 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 6 | 5 | -2 | 11 |
| Cleveland Browns | 1 | 19 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 4 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 9 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 3 | 14 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 2 | 10 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| New York Jets | 2 | 12 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 3 |